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WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model For 2.0 AU with Completion Time: 2021-05-09T18:58Z

Model Inputs:
2021-05-09T11:23:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-10.0, Lat.=-4.0, Speed=717.0, HalfAngle=27.0, Time21.5=2021-05-09T15:54Z
2021-05-09T15:23:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-60.0, Lat.=12.0, Speed=580.0, HalfAngle=45.0, Time21.5=2021-05-09T20:42Z

Model Outputs:
Earth Impact:
Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2021-05-12T03:34Z (+- 7 hours) [PE: -2.2 hr]
Duration of disturbance (hr) = 18.7 (+- 8 hours)
Minimum magnetopause standoff distance: Rmin(Re) = 6.2
Possible Kp index:
(kp)90=3
(kp)135=5
(kp)180=5

Other Location(s) Impact:
Solar Orbiter with estimated shock arrival time 2021-05-12T08:08Z
STEREO A with estimated shock arrival time 2021-05-12T08:55Z [PE: -7.8 hr]
Mars with estimated shock arrival time 2021-05-14T14:00Z (Glancing Blow)

Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20210509_155400_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20210509_155400_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20210509_155400_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20210509_155400_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_B.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20210509_155400_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20210509_155400_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_B.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20210509_155400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20210509_155400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20210509_155400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20210509_155400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20210509_155400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STB_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20210509_155400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20210509_155400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20210509_155400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20210509_155400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20210509_155400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif

Note :

Submitted on 2021-05-09T19:01Z by Michael GreklekMcKeon

A Notification with ID 20210509-AL-001 was sent on 2021-05-09T19:20Z
A Notification with ID 20210511-AL-001 was sent on 2021-05-11T13:56Z

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